2022年全球和中国脑及中枢神经系统肿瘤流行现状分析
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安徽省高等学校科学研究重大项目(2024AH040320).


Brain and central nervous system tumors in the world and China: epidemic status in 2022
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Supported by Major Program for Scientific Research of Anhui Higher Education Institutions (2024AH040320).

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    摘要:

    目的 分析2022年全球和中国脑及中枢神经系统肿瘤的流行现状,比较不同人类发展指数(HDI)国家和地区脑及中枢神经系统肿瘤的发病和死亡情况,并评估HDI与脑及中枢神经系统肿瘤发病率和死亡率的关联。方法 收集GLOBOCAN 2022脑及中枢神经系统肿瘤数据,依据《2022人类发展报告》整理HDI数据,运用广义加性模型分析标化发病率(SIR)、标化死亡率(SMR)、死亡发病比(M/I)与HDI的关系。结果 2022年脑及中枢神经系统肿瘤发病率与死亡率随年龄增长而上升,极高HDI国家和地区增长趋势显著。高和极高HDI国家和地区脑及中枢神经系统肿瘤发病和死亡人数较多,极高HDI国家和地区SIR和SMR最高。中国脑及中枢神经系统肿瘤SIR高于全球,而SMR低于全球。M/I在不同HDI水平的国家和地区存在差异,高和极高HDI国家和地区M/I较低。HDI对SIR(edf=1.740,P<0.000 1)、M/I(edf=1.809,P<0.000 1)具有显著的非线性影响,对SMR(edf=1,P<0.000 1)具有显著的线性影响。随着HDI的增高,SIR、SMR呈增高趋势,M/I呈下降趋势。结论 2022年脑及中枢神经系统肿瘤的发病与死亡情况因HDI不同而存在差异,提高HDI有助于降低脑及中枢神经系统肿瘤的发病风险并改善治疗效果,需针对不同年龄组及HDI制定防控策略。

    Abstract:

    Objective To compare the incidence and mortality of brain and central nervous system (CNS) tumors in countries and territories with different human development index (HDI) in 2022, to make a comparison with the current epidemiological situation in China, and to assess the association between HDI and the incidence and mortality of brain and CNS tumors. Methods The data on brain and CNS tumors from GLOBOCAN 2022 were collected, and HDI data were organized based on the Human development report 2022. Generalized additive model (GAM) was used to analyze the relationships between standardized incidence ratio (SIR), standardized mortality ratio (SMR), mortality-to-incidence ratio (M/I), and HDI. Results The incidence and mortality of brain and CNS tumors increased with age in 2022, with a significant increasing trend in countries and territories with very high HDI. Countries and territories with high and very high HDI had more cases and more deaths, and countries and territories with very high HDI had the highest SIR and SMR. SIR for brain and CNS tumors in China was higher than the global average, while China’s SMR was lower. M/I varied among countries and territories with different HDI, with lower M/I in countries and territories with high and very high HDI. HDI had a significant nonlinear effect on SIR (edf=1.740, P<0.000 1) and M/I (edf=1.809, P<0.000 1), and a significant linear effect on SMR (edf=1, P<0.000 1). As HDI increased, SIR and SMR generally showed an increasing trend, while M/I showed a decreasing trend. Conclusion There are significant global differences in incidence and mortality of brain and CNS tumors in patients with different HDI in 2022; increasing HDI can reduce the risk of brain and CNS tumors and improve treatment outcomes, and prevention and control strategies should be made for different age groups and HDI.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-11-28
  • 最后修改日期:2025-03-06
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-08-19
  • 出版日期: 2025-08-20
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