| 摘要: |
| 目的针对城镇居民医疗保险政策,揭示各类人群的人口分布规律、潜在的医疗保险参保人群,同时估计个人和家庭的收入趋势。方法利用微观模拟模型技术构建城镇居民医疗保险人口模型。首先是构建2005~2010年的人口结构,根据目标人口将2000年人口普查样本更新到2005~2010年,然后将更新后的人口数据库与参保职工数据实现统计拼接。结果完成了城镇居民微观人口模型的构建,经分析获得潜在医疗保险参保人群分布、家庭经济收入状况。在此模型的基础上,可针对参保居民的门诊大病和住院医疗过程进行模拟分析。结论分析结果有助于政府在 |
| 关键词: 市区人口 人口模型 医疗保险 |
| DOI：10.3724/SP.J.1008.2011.066 |
| 投稿时间：2010-10-15修订日期：2010-12-31 |
| 基金项目:澳大利亚堪培拉大学博士奖学金资助项目 |
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| Analysis of population model of medical insurance system for urban residents |
| XIONG Lin-ping1*,TANG Wei-dong2,ZHANG Yin3 |
| (1. Department of Health Service Management, Faculty of Health Services, Second Military Medical University,Shanghai 200433, China;;2. Bureau of Labour and Social Security of Kunming, Kunming 650011, Yunnan, China;;3. Department of Economic Management, Kunming General Hospital, PLA Chengdu Military Area Command, Kunming 650032, Yunnan, China) |
| Abstract: |
| ObjectiveTo investigate the population distribution according to different groups of people, the potential urban residents for medical insurance scheme, and to predict the income trends of individuals and families. MethodsAn urban population model was cre |
| Key words: urban population population model medical insurance |
